For Week Ending April 18, 2020
The Department of Labor’s initial jobless claims report released April 16th showed 5,245,000 new weekly claims, which is a decrease of nearly 1.4 million from last week. New initial claims are expected to continue to decline but still remain at high levels in the next few weeks. This week the Commerce Department reported new construction building permits were at a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 1.35 million in March, which is 5% higher than last year. However, that is expected to decline in April as the impact of COVID-19 is more fully realized.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 18:
- New Listings decreased 23.9% to 1,228
- Pending Sales decreased 27.8% to 989
- Inventory decreased 12.0% to 9,025
For the month of March:
- Median Sales Price increased 8.0% to $297,000
- Days on Market decreased 7.6% to 61
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.6% to 99.2%
- Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 10.0% to 1.8
All comparisons are to 2019
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.
Mortgage Rates Increase Slightly
April 23, 2020
Mortgage rates have stabilized over the last few weeks as the market searches for direction in the fog of economic data. While financial markets initially rallied on the news of Federal Reserve support and are improving due to the Senate’s passage of a new small business stimulus, we continue to see a deep economic contraction amidst uncertainty about the recovery formation.
Information provided by Freddie Mac.
Existing Home Sales
March Monthly Skinny Video
Sales were up compared to last year – a welcome and reassuring direction in a low supply marketplace.
New Listings and Pending Sales
Inventory
Weekly Market Report
For Week Ending April 11, 2020
This week’s initial jobless claims report from the Department of Labor showed another 6.6 million workers filed last week and revised the prior week’s claims up by 219,000 to nearly 6.9 million. Millions of additional initial jobless claims are likely to be reported in the next few weeks as the full impact of shelter-in-place policies becomes apparent. Meanwhile, Freddie Mac reported that the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rate remained flat at 3.33% this week, down from an average of 4.12% a year ago.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending April 11:
- New Listings decreased 30.4% to 1,210
- Pending Sales decreased 21.0% to 1,000
- Inventory decreased 11.3% to 8,928
For the month of March:
- Median Sales Price increased 8.0% to $297,000
- Days on Market decreased 9.1% to 60
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.6% to 99.2%
- Months Supply of Homes For Sale decreased 10.0% to 1.8
All comparisons are to 2019
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From MAAR Market Data News.
A silver lining: Some early signs of turnaround in showings
(April 17, 2020) – According to new data from the Minneapolis Area REALTORS® and the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®, the number of Twin Cities residential real estate showings displayed the first signs of a turnaround since they began declining during the onset of the coronavirus in mid-March.Since reaching their valley around April 2, showings have been on the rise. As of April 10, overall showings were up 16.1 percent compared to a week earlier. Reduced activity during the Easter and Passover holidays eroded that gain slightly, but that is likely a temporary blip.
“Despite some concerns among buyers and sellers, there’s clearly still activity occurring,” said Linda Rogers, President of Minneapolis Area REALTORS®. “It is still vital that REALTORS® continue to follow best practices for showing homes safely and to consider other options such as virtual tours.”
Both new listings and pending sales also saw declines in the second half of March and into April. New listings began to decline around March 26 and are now roughly 36.8 percent below their 2020 peak. The decline in buyer activity was earlier but not as severe. Pending sales began to decline around March 18 and are now about 19.1 percent below their peak.
“March was off to a strong start until the middle of the month when everything changed,” said Patrick Ruble, President of St. Paul Area Association of REALTORS®. “We even saw a double-digit gain in new listings, providing more options for buyers facing limited choices. The strength of the market preceding this crisis bodes well for a relatively quick recovery once this crisis is over.”
The monthly report for March, with its 16.0 percent gain in new listings and 11.2 percent increase in pending and closed sales, paints only a partial picture of COVID-19’s impact on the market. The numbers don’t fully reflect the effect of the stay-at-home order and school closures which occurred in the second half of the month. And most March sales were for purchase agreements that were finalized in January and February. The April numbers will offer a far more accurate view of COVID-19’s impact on the Twin Cities housing market – from sales, listings and inventory to market times and home prices.
For March, the median Twin Cities home price was up 8.0 percent to $297,000. Mortgage rates on a 30-year fixed loan are now around 3.4 percent—just about the lowest they’ve ever been. While recessions can pause market activity, they typically have only a minor impact on home prices. The undersupplied market—especially at the affordable end—should also shield prices.
March 2020 by the numbers compared to a year ago
- Sellers listed 7,220 properties on the market, a 16.0 percent increase from last March
- Buyers signed 5,148 purchase agreements, up 11.2 percent (4,155 closed sales, also up 11.2 percent)
- Inventory levels declined 11.3 percent to 8,597 units
- Months Supply of Inventory was down 15.0 percent to7 months (5-6 months is balanced)
- The Median Sales Price rose 8.0 percent to $297,000
- Cumulative Days on Market decreased 9.1 percent to 60 days, on average (median of 26)
- Changes in Sales activity varied by market segment
- Single family sales rose 13.5 percent; condo sales were up 8.4 percent; townhome sales increased 8.1 percent
- Traditional sales increased 13.6 percent; foreclosure sales dropped 34.6 percent; short sales fell 9.5 percent
- Previously owned sales were up 13.5 percent; new construction sales climbed 5.9 percent
For more information on weekly and monthly housing numbers visit www.mplsrealtor.com.
From The Skinny Blog.
Mortgage Rates Near All-Time Lows
April 16, 2020
Mortgage rates continue to hover near all-time lows for the third straight week. As a result, refinance activity remains high, but home purchase demand is weak due to economic tightening. While new monthly economic data are driving markets lower this week, they are a lagging indicator and should be priced in already. Real time daily economic activity metrics suggest that the economy will likely not decline much further. Going forward, the key question is no longer the depth of the economic contraction, but the duration.
Information provided by Freddie Mac.
New Listings and Pending Sales
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