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Weekly Market Report
For Week Ending June 23, 2018
The first half of the year in residential real estate fared as expected, with the most obvious markers continuing to be low inventory and higher prices. We are also seeing decreased affordability in many markets coupled with more urgency (lower days on market) and increased purchase offers (higher pending sales) ahead of perceived future rate increases that have not yet materialized in the wake of the 0.25 percent increase in the federal funds rate. All of this makes for a busy summer. Let’s examine the local market.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending June 23:
- New Listings increased 1.3% to 1,987
- Pending Sales decreased 3.7% to 1,437
- Inventory decreased 16.8% to 11,171
For the month of May:
- Median Sales Price increased 8.4% to $271,000
- Days on Market decreased 9.6% to 47
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.7% to 100.2%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 12.0% to 2.2
All comparisons are to 2017
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.
Mortgage Rates Fall Again
Mortgage rates declined over the past week and have now retreated in four of the past five weeks. The decrease in borrowing costs are a nice slice of relief for prospective buyers looking to get into the market this summer. Some are undoubtedly feeling the affordability hit from swift price appreciation and mortgage rates that are still 67 basis points higher than this week a year ago.
New Listings and Pending Sales
Inventory
Weekly Market Report
For Week Ending June 16, 2018
Sales across the nation have risen not only because this time of year typically offers an increase in residential real estate activity, but because this year in particular has proven to have strong economic and market conditions. While it’s still true that prices are rising and inventory is tightening, these long-standing trends have been happening gradually enough to not deter those who are serious about becoming homeowners.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending June 16:
- New Listings increased 10.1% to 2,057
- Pending Sales decreased 4.3% to 1,420
- Inventory decreased 18.0% to 10,898
For the month of May:
- Median Sales Price increased 8.4% to $271,000
- Days on Market decreased 9.6% to 47
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.7% to 100.2%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 12.0% to 2.2
All comparisons are to 2017
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.
May Monthly Skinny Video
“Buyers need to remain watchful of new listings and make their offers quickly.”
Mortgage Rates Retreat
Mortgage rates inched back over the past week and have now declined in three of the past four weeks.
After a sharp run-up in the early part of 2018, mortgage rates have stabilized over the last three months, with only a modest uptick since March. However, existing-home sales have hit a wall, declining in six of the last nine months on a year-over-year basis.
This indicates that persistently low supply levels, and not this year’s climb in mortgage rates, are handcuffing sales – especially at the lower end of the market. Home shoppers can’t buy inventory that doesn’t exist.
Existing Home Sales
Good news for sellers may finally be luring them into the market
More sellers may finally be jumping into the market at a time when buyers are facing the challenges of low inventory. Since 2013, new listing activity has been subdued relative to buyer activity and hasn’t surpassed 9,000 new listings per month since 2010. Excluding 2010, we haven’t had this many new listings for any month since May 2008. Increasing seller activity and tapering demand are consistent with a marketplace that’s starting to loosen up just a bit. That said, buyers shopping this spring and summer will still face stiff competition. Being successful in this market takes commitment, decisiveness and persistence—traits not necessarily typical of every buyer. In fact, May marked the sixth consecutive month of year-over-year declines in closed sales, likely reflecting the lack of homes for sale and not weakness in the economy. Strong demand combined with low supply means sellers yielded an average of 100.2 percent of their list price in May, a record high for any month and the first time this indicator has exceeded 100.0 percent. The shortage is especially noticeable at the entry-level prices, where multiple offers and homes selling for over list price have become increasingly common. Homes continue to sell quickly and for close to or above list price in this tight market, but nearly 12,000 buyers and sellers managed to transact real property last month.
May 2018 by the Numbers (compared to a year ago)
Sellers listed 9,164 properties on the market, a 2.9 percent increase
Buyers closed on 5,739 homes, a 11.3 percent decrease
Inventory levels for May fell 17.8 percent compared to 2017 to 10,403 units
Months Supply of Inventory was down 16.0 percent to 2.1 months
The Median Sales Price rose 8.4 percent to $271,000, a record high
Cumulative Days on Market declined 9.6 percent to 47 days, on average (median of 17)
Changes in Sales activity varied by market segment
Single family sales sank 12.3 percent; condo sales fell 3.5 percent; townhome sales declined 7.5 percent
Traditional sales fell 9.7 percent; foreclosure sales sank 38.1 percent; short sales plummeted 59.7 percent
Previously-owned sales fell 12.4 percent; new construction sales rose 11.1 percent
From The Skinny Blog.
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