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Weekly Market Report
For Week Ending August 6, 2016
Housing markets across the nation have mostly reached full recovery and are even approaching or achieving categorical highs in sales and prices, yet builders are still focusing on higher-end homes over starter homes in order to combat high land and building permit costs. Until there is more entry-level inventory on the market, sustainable balance will be difficult.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending August 6:
- New Listings increased 2.3% to 1,795
- Pending Sales decreased 1.9% to 1,258
- Inventory decreased 17.7% to 14,495
For the month of July:
- Median Sales Price increased 6.6% to $239,900
- Days on Market decreased 14.3% to 54
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.8% to 98.4%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 21.1% to 3.0
All comparisons are to 2015
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.
Twin Cities Homes Selling in Record Time, But Key Differences Persist
Seller activity declined 5.5 percent since last July, as sellers introduced 7,522 new listings to the marketplace. Sales activity was slightly below year-ago levels. Closed sales fell 5.8 percent while pending sales—the number of signed purchase agreements—fell 3.1 percent. Buyers signed 5,560 new contracts and closed on 6,030 homes. That closed sales figure is on par with July 2003 levels. The July median sales price retreated slightly since June 2016, but increased 6.6 percent from July 2015 to $239,900. Mostly due to inventory constraints, prospective sellers are concerned about their ability to secure their next property in the current environment. Buyers saw little supply side relief, as inventory levels fell 18.1 percent to 14,457 active properties. The well-known inventory shortages haven’t slowed down buyers much, given June 2016 closed sales at a 12-year high.
Low inventory, however, has helped draw out stronger offers. The average percent of original list price received at sale was 98.4 percent, the highest figure for any July since 2005. Low levels of for-sale housing also means the homes on the market tend to sell quickly. Cumulative days on market until sale fell 15.9 percent to 53 days. That’s the fastest market time for any month since the beginning of 2007. Months supply of inventory fell 23.7 percent to 2.9 months—the lowest July figure on record going back to the beginning of 2003. Generally, five to six months of supply is considered a balanced market.
Our days on market indicator tells us that most homes are selling pretty quickly,” said Judy Shields, Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS® (MAAR) President. “But that market-wide figure leaves out important differences between various communities, property types and price points. For example, the July market-wide average was 53 days but homes priced above $1 million are spending 174 days on the market.”
Over the last 12 months, properties in the $190,000 to $250,000 range have tended to sell the quickest, at an average of 54 days. As the price point rises, so does the amount of time spent on the market. There is a sweet spot whereby both lower and higher priced homes take longer to sell.
It’s also worth noting that the average market time figure can be skewed by properties that linger on the market. The median days on market was actually 25 for July, reflecting the mid-point where half the homes spent longer than 25 days on the market and half spent less.
“Those selling properties above the $500,000 mark know that patience is a virtue even in our current environment,” said Cotty Lowry, MAAR President-Elect. “The supply-demand balance in that segment is less competitive than the entry-level price points, plus consumers are limiting how much house they buy.”
Mortgage Rates Little Changed
A surprisingly strong July jobs report showed 255,000 jobs added and 0.3 percent wage growth from last month, exceeding many experts’ expectations. In response, the 10-Year Treasury yield rose to its highest level since June and the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 2 basis points to 3.45 percent.
New Listings and Pending Sales
Inventory
Weekly Market Report
For Week Ending July 30, 2016
It’s only August, but this time during summer usually means making plans for changes ahead, especially the start of a new school year. For potential home buyers with school-aged children, these are the pivotal days for deciding whether or not to purchase or wait. With inventory as low as it is, we are in a place where big moves will be made or saved for later, and sales figures will reflect as much.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending July 30:
- New Listings increased 3.3% to 1,723
- Pending Sales decreased 4.6% to 1,289
- Inventory decreased 18.0% to 14,588
For the month of July:
- Median Sales Price increased 6.6% to $239,900
- Days on Market decreased 15.9% to 53
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.8% to 98.4%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 23.7% to 2.9
All comparisons are to 2015
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report. From The Skinny Blog.
Mortgage Rates Fall Back Near 2016 Low
Treasury yields fell last week, and mortgage rates, which had moved up 7 basis points over the past three weeks, responded by erasing most of those gains, falling 5 basis points to 3.43 percent this week for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. Mortgage rates have been below 3.5 percent every week since June 30. Borrowers are taking advantage of these low rates by refinancing.
New Listings and Pending Sales
Inventory
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